19 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SZ
🇺🇦Stanislav Zherykhin
ELO 1340
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zherykhin
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Levytskyi
ELO 1321
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Levytskyi stays under total as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Zherykhin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.