19 Jul · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1390
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Miroshnychenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1448
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Miroshnychenko stays under total as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Miroshnychenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H17-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-2)