19 Jul · 15:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SZ
🇺🇦Stanislav Zherykhin
ELO 1340
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Novik
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1358
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Novik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.