19 Jul · 17:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1433
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mukhin
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1423
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.