19 Jul · 19:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JD
🇺🇦Josef Dolezal
ELO 1489
FormLLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1608
FormLLWLW
38%
62%
🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (115)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)