19 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DG
🇺🇦David Gasparovic
ELO 1606
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sr
JS
🇺🇦Jan Krames Sr
ELO 1608
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Sr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (92)
Fair odds · Sr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.