19 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1434
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1462
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (107)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H32-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.