19 Jul · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1610
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gavryshko
OG
🇺🇦Oleg Gavryshko
ELO 1632
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Gavryshko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 21% · 4.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.