19 Jul · 14:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1487
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Parahailo
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1549
FormWLLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H61-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-41)