19 Jul · 10:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Shyshman
ELO 1525
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1532
FormLLWLW
49%
51%
🌟Solomko stays under total as favourite 66% (73)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 27% · 3.72· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.