19 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kunchurov
ELO 1339
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kunchurov
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1332
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kunchurov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.