19 Jul · 16:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PO
🇺🇦Petr Orlowski
ELO 1627
FormWLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Orlowski
MD
🇺🇦Marek Drbohlav
ELO 1488
FormWLLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Orlowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)