19 Jul · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1610
FormWWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Melnik
EP
🇺🇦Evgeniy Pismenniy
ELO 1445
FormLWLWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H94-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (94-56)