19 Jul · 14:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1437
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stukalov
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1449
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Stukalov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (52)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.