19 Jul · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SO
🇺🇦Sergey Osipov
ELO 1418
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Osipov
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1332
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Osipov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)