19 Jul · 19:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1423
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stukalov
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1449
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Stukalov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (52)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.