19 Jul · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1572
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tymofeev
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1532
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (125)
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.