19 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1424
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Snizek
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1475
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Vydra covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H5-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)