19 Jul · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YK
🇺🇦Yurii Kolos
ELO 1516
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Parahailo
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1549
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.