19 Jul · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇺🇦Mykhailo Mykhailenko
ELO 1238
FormWLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Osipov
SO
🇺🇦Sergey Osipov
ELO 1418
FormLWLWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Osipov
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+180
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)