19 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1532
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Solomko
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1494
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Solomko stays under total as favourite 66% (73)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H13-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.