19 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇺🇦Roman Sveshnykov
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurliuk
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1460
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as favourite 75% (32)
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.