19 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1603
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kolman
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1552
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Melisek goes over total as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)