19 Jul · 09:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sorochan
ELO 1465
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pohorilyi
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1564
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H16-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-10)