19 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1436
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Treschetka
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1447
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Treschetka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H34-66
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.