19 Jul · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
EP
🇺🇦Evgeniy Pismenniy
ELO 1445
FormLWLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Cherevko
RC
🇺🇦Roman Cherevko
ELO 1578
FormLLWWL
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pismenniy🌟Cherevko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (62)
Fair odds · Cherevko
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~73 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H113-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (113-45)