19 Jul · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Sydorchuk
ELO 1586
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lutsyshyn
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1594
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Lutsyshyn stays under total as favourite 65% (48)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.