19 Jul · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1501
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1545
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shchegelskyi🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 65% (55)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H28-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)