19 Jul · 15:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1473
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Novakov
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1423
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Novakov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)