19 Jul · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PO
🇺🇦Petr Orlowski
ELO 1627
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Orlowski
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1552
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
🌟Melisek goes over total as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Orlowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)