19 Jul · 17:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1517
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1545
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Vorsuliak stays under total as favourite 64% (72)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H21-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.