19 Jul · 07:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1460
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pohorilyi
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1564
FormWWLWW
39%
61%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)