19 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇺🇦Roman Sveshnykov
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sorochan
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sorochan
ELO 1465
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Sorochan rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (29)
Fair odds · Sorochan
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)