19 Jul · 19:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1535
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kurtenko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1532
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Ovsiienko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (58)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.