19 Jul · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1453
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Abraham
PA
🇺🇦Petr Abraham
ELO 1514
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
🌟Herrmann covers set handicap as underdog 65% (34)
Fair odds · Abraham
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)