19 Jul · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1501
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Parahailo
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1549
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 65% (55)
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H51-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-45)