19 Jul · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SZ
🇺🇦Stanislav Zherykhin
ELO 1340
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zherykhin
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1270
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Zherykhin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~72 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)