19 Jul · 16:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1427
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Treschetka
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1447
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maksymkiv🌟Treschetka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H45-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.