20 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1468
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1494
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Kovalenko stays under total as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H8-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.