20 Jul · 21:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1638
FormLWLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Hryban
VH
🇺🇦Vadym Hryban
ELO 1829
FormLLLLL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Hryban
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+191
H2H56-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+191)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-30)