20 Jul · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1727
FormLWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Balabei
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1628
FormWLWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H92-88
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (92-88)