20 Jul · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1598
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shcherbak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1542
FormWWLLW
56%
44%
🌟Shcherbak stays under total as favourite 63% (153)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H30-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-24)