20 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1646
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kryshtal
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1592
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H38-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-25)