20 Jul · 19:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lifanov
ELO 1508
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lifanov
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1489
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Lifanov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (67)
Fair odds · Lifanov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H21-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.