20 Jul · 17:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1727
FormLWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Balabei
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1592
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H74-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (74-19)