20 Jul · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1476
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolbasenko
ELO 1622
FormWLWLL
35%
65%
🌟Voronenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (51)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+146
H2H38-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-17)