20 Jul · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1489
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sharpai
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sharpai
ELO 1500
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sharpai
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.