20 Jul · 16:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolbasenko
ELO 1622
FormWLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kolbasenko
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1493
FormLLWWW
63%
37%
🌟Mishchenko stays under total as underdog 63% (41)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~73 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H20-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-13)