20 Jul · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1750
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Molochko
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1638
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Verbyany🌟Molochko goes over total as favourite 63% (83)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H100-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (100-48)