20 Jul · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1521
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kozachuk
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1466
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (62)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)